tA study released this week says that the lockdowns prevented 60 million people in the US from getting COVID-19.
A study by UC Berkeley says that lockdowns may have prevented 500 million COVID-19 cases in six countries: China, United States, France, Italy, Iran and South Korea.
Let's hope they find a vaccine really soon!
Preventing hundreds of millions of people around the world from getting coronavirus, also prevented most of them from developing an immunity to it. The lockdowns trashed the global economy, destroyed million of lives and businesses and have brought many poor people around the globe to the brink of starvation.
With all the non-stop media and government fear-mongering about the pandemic, it's easy to forget that the mortality rate from COVID-19 is very low, somewhere around 1%. Many people have no symptoms and don't even know that they have it. All they get from the infection is a natural immunity to it.
So if it comes back in future waves, what will they do then? Lock everybody up again because there's no herd immunity in the population?
I believe a tremendous opportunity was lost here and at a huge cost to economies and people around the world, especially the poor who have no financial safety blanket to weather lockdowns, and often lack enough space for social distancing.
Until there is a vaccine, the best chance we have to fight COVID-19 is to develop herd immunity. It's free and effective and the ability to get it has evolved over many millions of years. We should not be completely stopping infections, we should be slowing them down so that those who get seriously ill can get the medical attention they need. That can be done without totally destroying so many people's lives.
Today's Johns Hopkins map shows that almost 3.4 million people around the world have recovered from COVID-19. We'd be in a much stronger position if that number was closer to 500 million.